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Error, trend, seasonality - ets and its forecast model friends
Timeseries forecasting using extreme gradient boosting
R Markdown for documents with logos, watermarks, and corporate styles
Exploring propensity score matching and weighting
Better prediction intervals for time series forecasts
Skill v luck in determining backgammon winners
Dual axes time series plots may be ok sometimes after all
Why time series forecasts prediction intervals aren't as good as we'd hope
Extrapolation is tough for trees!
Cross-validation of topic modelling
Dual axes time series plots with various more awkward data
Bootstrap and cross-validation for evaluating modelling strategies
Books I like
about free range statistics
Sparse matrices, k-means clustering, topic modelling with posts on the 2004 US Presidential election
X13-SEATS-ARIMA as an automated forecasting tool
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium models made (relatively) easy with R
Sampling distribution of weighted Gini coefficient
FiveThirtyEight's polling data for the US Presidential election
Extreme pie chart polishing
Seasonal decomposition in the ggplot2 universe with ggseas
Simulations to explore excessive lagged X variables in time series modelling
Success rates of appeals to the Supreme Court by Circuit
Estimating Gini coefficient when we only have mean income by decile
Why you need version control
Create ARIMA time series from bottom up
Announcing new forecastHybrid package
Elastic net regularization of a model of burned calories
Seasonal adjusment on the fly with X-13ARIMA-SEATS, seasonal and ggplot2
State-space modelling of the Australian 2007 federal election
Tourism forecasting competition data in the Tcomp R package
Success rates of automated ARIMA fitting
How to compare two blackbox timeseries generators?
US Presidential inauguration speeches
Simulating backgammon players' Elo ratings
Actual coverage of confidence intervals for standard deviation
Creating a scale transformation
Sampling distribution of Gini coefficient
Moving largish data from R to H2O - spam detection with Enron emails
Visual contrast of two robust regression methods
Sankey charts for swinging voters
Extracting data on shadow economy from PDF tables
Animated world inequality map
Global choropleth maps of military expenditure
Autocorrelation functions of materially different time series
Explore with Shiny the impact of sample size on "p-charts"
Transforming the breaks to match a scale
Linear model with time series random component
Air quality in Indian cities
Does seasonally adjusting first help forecasting?
Inter-country inequality and the World Development Indicators
Impact of omitted variables on estimating causal effects - simulations
Data from the World Health Organization API
Luke-warm about micromaps
Cartograms of New Zealand census data
Importance of exports and economic growth, cross-country time series
forecastHybrid 0.3.0 on CRAN
Election analysis contest entry part 1 - introducing the nzelect R package
Network charts of commuting in New Zealand with R and D3
Modelling individual party vote from the 2014 New Zealand election study
Declining sea ice in the Arctic
Update of `ggseas` for seasonal decomposition on the fly
nzcensus on GitHub
Visualising relationships between children's books
ggseas package for seasonal adjustment on the fly with ggplot2
Election analysis contest entry part 3 - interactive exploration of voting locations with leaflet and Shiny
More things with the New Zealand Election Study
Improving state-space modelling of the Australian 2007 federal election
Inequality measures in the World Development Indicators
Getting started in applied statistics / datascience
Silver flows in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries
New Zealand Tourism Dashboard pushes Shiny to the max
New Zealand election forecasts
Earthquake energy over time
Filling in the gaps - highly granular estimates of income and population for New Zealand from survey data
Stats NZ encouraging active sharing for microdata access projects
Deaths from assault over time in 40 relatively rich countries
Who turned out to vote in the 2014 New Zealand general election?
Election analysis contest entry part 4 - drivers of preference for Green over Labour party
House effects in New Zealand voting intention polls
Presentation slides on using graphics
New Zealand Election Study individual level data
Statistics New Zealand experimental API initiative
Time-varying house effects in New Zealand political polls
Family violence and economic deprivation in New Zealand
Importing the New Zealand Income Survey SURF
Recruiting Analysts for dynamic cutting edge public sector team
The long view on New Zealand political polls
Minimalist Tufte-inspired axis text with Scottish-New Zealand historical material
A better way of visualising income distributions with zeroes and negatives
International Household Income Inequality data
Election analysis contest entry part 2 - building the nzelect R package
Analysing the Modelled Territorial Authority GDP estimates for New Zealand
Web app for individual party vote from the 2014 New Zealand election study
New Zealand Data & APIs on GitHub
nzelect 0.2.0 on CRAN
Monthly Regional Tourism Estimates
More cartograms of New Zealand census data (district and city level)!
A (not too talkative) twitterbot is born
Hello world!