I write about applications of data and analytical techniques like statistical modelling and simulation to real-world situations. I show how to access and use data, and provide examples of analytical products and the code that produced them.
Modern wars on average last longer than a year, but the distribution is very right-skewed. Conditional on a war lasting 74 days and with no information available other than past durations, the median total duration is 261 days, and an 80% prediction interval would be (95, 1,752) days.
Pacific island countries are heavily dependent on imported diesel, gas and kerosene for electricity generation and for cooking.
Pacific island populations are shaped by people movements, more than is the case for most countries in the world. Ease of migration—because of history, culture or international agreements—has a critical impact on population size, growth and shape; and the fundamentals of the economy.
Pacific island countries have some of the highest dependencies in the world on remittance payments from overseas.
Population pyramids for Pacific countries, one or two at a time. I use these to highlight contrasts between two coral atoll nations, one of which has free movement to a large, rich country, and one of which doesn't.
Some Pacific countries have dramatically more of "their" people living overseas than in the origin country. And some don't.
My best hasty effort at presenting the cities around the world with the most Pacific Islanders resident.
Visualising income inequality social tables as a scatter plot rather than a dual axis bar/line plot. I use examples from eighteenth and nineteenth century France, England and Wales drawing on Branko Milanovic's Visions of Inequality 2023 publication.
Accessing data and drawing charts for nickel exports from New Caledonia, and world nickel prices, from 2008 to 2025.
Accessing data and drawing visualisations of net migration for Pacific island countries and territories.